Vineyard disease intelligence · California

Predict the spray. Not the loss.

AgriOS combines weather intelligence with the UC Davis Gubler-Thomas disease model to give every block a Spray, Watch, or Hold call — and the science behind it.

Most ag software tells you what already happened. AgriOS tells you what happens next.

WeatherPredictionRecommendationDecision
How it works

Weather in. A defensible spray call out.

Five steps, all running on the data and records you already have. No drones, no satellites, no new hardware.

Ingest your weather

Station and forecast data for every block, continuously — the raw signal disease pressure is built from.

Run the disease model

The UC Davis / Gubler-Thomas Powdery Mildew Risk Index turns that weather into real disease pressure — per block, not per region.

Score every block

Pressure, crop stage, spray history, and label limits (FRAC, REI, PHI) combine into one risk picture per block.

Get a call that explains itself

Spray, Watch, or Hold — with the agronomic rule behind it, its confidence, and a flag when the evidence is thin.

Your PCA reviews and signs

Every call is theirs to confirm or modify. AgriOS is the picture between visits, never a replacement for the expert.

What we predict

One decision, predicted deeply.

We don’t predict ten things shallowly. We predict the one that costs you the most — block-level powdery mildew pressure — and we show our work.

Block-levelPressure scored per block — not per region, not per AVA.
7-dayA forward risk window: what's building, before symptoms show.
Every callCarries a confidence level and flags when evidence is thin.
The science

Built on the science your PCA already trusts.

AgriOS isn’t a black box with a logo on it. It runs on published UC disease science — and every recommendation shows its work. The science isn’t a feature. It’s the moat.

Risk model

Gubler-Thomas Index

The UC Davis powdery mildew risk model — the standard your PCA already knows — converts weather into block-level pressure.

Agronomy

Grounded in UC IPM

Every recommendation cites published UC IPM guidance and the label limits (FRAC, REI, PHI) that constrain the spray.

Transparent

Not a black box

Each call names the rule behind it and its confidence. Transparent rules today; calibrated to your blocks as outcomes accumulate.

Proof, not promises

We keep score. Per block. Out loud.

Every call is logged with its inputs, reasoning, and citations, reviewed by your PCA, and checked against what actually happened — avoided sprays, caught pressure, and the misses. One season scoreboard you can defend to an owner.

See a live call sheet →

SPRAYPressure is building. Act this week.
WATCHConditions could shift. Reassess in 48 hours.
HOLDLow risk. Skip this round and save the pass.
Where AgriOS sits

Next to your stack — not on top of it.

Other tools report the past. AgriOS predicts what’s coming and improves the call.

ToolWhat it doesWhat it can’t doAgriOS
Weather appsPredict the weatherDon't convert it to disease risk on your blockRuns weather through Gubler-Thomas → block-level pressure
Scouting appsRecord what you sawDon't tell you what's comingPredicts pressure before symptoms, ranks every block
Spray-records softwareProve what you didDon't improve the next callMakes the call, cites the rule, logs the outcome
Farm-management platformsTrack operationsDon't improve decisionsImproves the one decision that costs the most
Your PCAExpert judgment, in personCan't be on every block every weekThe same block-level picture between visits — PCA stays central
AgriOS Research Lab

Applied agricultural intelligence.

We publish what we’re testing, what’s working, and what isn’t — with honest status, never invented results. This is where computer vision, irrigation, and sustainability live today: as research.

Disease prediction & calibration

Question
How closely does modeled pressure track real outcomes, block by block?
Approach
Served rules (pm-rules v1.0) run against a shadow v1.1, calibrated against PCA-confirmed outcomes.
Live + ongoing

Computer vision for canopy disease

Question
Can image-based grading confirm and sharpen the model?
Approach
Expert/PCA-labeled central-coast imagery, evaluated shadow-only before it affects any live call.
Early research

Irrigation forecasting

Question
Can block-level vineyard water demand be predicted usefully?
Approach
Exploratory research — not a product, and not presented as a feature anywhere on this site.
Research only

Sustainability measurement

Question
How do we honestly quantify the sprays and inputs avoided?
Approach
Per-block avoided-pass tracking tied to real outcomes, not modeled marketing math.
In evaluation
Where AgriOS is going

Disease first. We earn each next decision before we claim it.

Powdery mildew is the wedge, not the ceiling — one intelligence layer for the decisions a vineyard team makes all season.

Disease intelligence

Powdery mildew Spray / Watch / Hold for every block.

Live

Computer vision

Image-based canopy confirmation of disease pressure.

In research

AI agronomist

Conversational, cited decision support on top of the model.

Planned

Irrigation forecasting

Block-level water-demand prediction.

Planned

Sustainability intelligence

Measured environmental impact across the season.

Planned
Christopher Hamel, founder of AgriOS
Who’s building this

Christopher Hamel — Cal Poly computer science, building from California’s central coast.

AgriOS started with a question I kept hearing from growers and PCAs around San Luis Obispo and Paso Robles: “I know I’m overspraying — I just don’t know which passes to skip.” That gap — between the decision a grower has to make every week and the evidence they have to make it with — is what AgriOS exists to close. I’m building it in conversation with central-coast growers and PCAs, and grounded in the published plant-pathology research I study at Cal Poly.

Pilot program

Design partners wanted — California vineyard powdery mildew pilots.

Get a season-long scoreboard — calls made, sprays avoided, misses counted, outcomes reviewed block by block — and shape the product and the pricing before anyone else. The waitlist is free.

Real objections, answered honestly

Questions growers and PCAs ask before they say yes.

Is this drones or satellite imagery?

No — and it never will be. AgriOS predicts from weather, the disease model, and the records you already keep. No new hardware to install.

Does AgriOS analyze my vineyard photos?

Not yet. Image-based canopy grading is active research, clearly marked on our roadmap. We won't claim it as a feature until it's real and validated against expert labels.

Does it replace my PCA or agronomist?

No. AgriOS is the block-level picture between visits; your PCA confirms or modifies every call and stays central to the decision.

Which crop and disease?

California wine grapes, powdery mildew. We are deliberately narrow on the first decision before we extend.

What does it cost?

The pilot waitlist is free. Early partners help shape the product and the pricing. When we charge, we expect to be in the range of a single avoided spray per block per season — not per acre.